Super Bowl is 4 to 5 points off.
Walters told Sports Handle he believes the Kansas City Chiefs should be a roughly 2-point favorite to hoist the Lombardi Trophy, but instead multiple betting apps list the San Francisco 49ers as 2-point or 2.5-point favorites.
He gives the edge to Kansas City in several key areas, including quarterback, coaching, and placekicker.
“Kansas City’s quarterback is night and day better than the San Francisco quarterback,” Walters said.
The well-known gambler plans to wager a $500,000 on the Chiefs, which is far from Walters’ biggest bet on a Super Bowl outcome. Walters told Sports Handle that his largest bet on a Super Bowl came in 2010, when he wagered $4.5 million on the Saints to beat the Colts.
His wager turned out to be a winning bet as the Saints, led by Drew Brees, defeated Peyton Manning and the Colts 31-17. New Orleans was about a 5-point underdog in that contest, but Walters said his system had the game as a pick ’em.
Considerable advantage at QB 2d4v5k
As for this weekend’s bet, Walters’ of the Chiefs figures to be backed by plenty of casual bettors. Kansas City quarterback Patrick Mahomes is 3-0 straight up in his career as a postseason underdog, including a perfect 2-0 this season.
FanDuel are among the betting apps to list the Chiefs as +110 moneyline underdogs.
The Chiefs are the only team in the NFL this season that did not allow at least 30 points in a single game. Walters cited Brock Purdy’s subpar performance against the Ravens on Christmas Day as a factor for his pick. A stifling Baltimore defense forced four Purdy interceptions in the 33-19 victory. Purdy finished without a ing touchdown, along with a paltry quarterback rating of 42.6.
“K.C.’s defense is not as good as Baltimore’s, but they’re not that far behind,” Walters told Sports Handle.
The 49ers are 0-2 against the spread this postseason, narrowly defeating both the Green Bay Packers and Detroit Lions.
