NCAA Basketball Finals Picks and Parlays – April 7: Florida to Cover the Spread, Over on Points 142r2f

We are boiling down to the very end of March Madness with only one game left and two teams standing. It’s the showdown of two 1st seeds, with the Houston Cougars fighting for the NCAA gold against the Florida Gators. 

With just one game left, the spotlight is on – and so are our final picks and parlays for the title game.

*Sports betting carries inherent risks, and outcomes can be unpredictable. The recommendations offered here are based on current data and analysis but should not be viewed as guarantees of success.

Two Teams, One Title: The Journey to the NCAA Championship Game 6c2v4x

Houston managed to pose a major upset in the semi-final showdown against Duke. The Blue Devils were up 13 points, but the Cougars went on a run, scoring the last nine points of the game and advancing through with a 70-67 win. This marks their 18th straight win, making them one of the most in-form teams in the league. 

Meanwhile, Florida outsted Aubrun in a clash that went in their favor by 79-73. It wasn’t all sunshine and roses for the Gators as they, too, needed to mount back after a deficit. They were eight points down at the half but managed to defeat their SEC rivals, scheduling the title game against Houston.

The Houston Cougas and Florida Gators have both demonstrated exceptional form throughout the 2024-25 season, culminating in their appearance in the finals. Houston, coached by Kelvin Sampson, is noted for its top-ranked defense, allowing an average of 58.5 points per game, while scoring 73.9 points offensively.

Florida, under Todd Golden, showcases a high-scoring offense, averaging 85.3 points per game, with opponents scoring 69.8. Their records of 35-4 each reflect their dominance, with Houston’s defensive strength and Florida’s offensive firepower setting the stage for a competitive game.

Florida to Win Moneyline 6r6x2s

With Florida opening as a 1.5-point favorite, their moneyline odds are likely around -120 to -130, reflecting a lower risk due to their consistent tournament performance and high-scoring offense. This bet is suitable for those seeking a safer option, though no bet is guaranteed in such a high-stakes game.

Florida to Cover the Spread 6m5d23

The spread bet requires Florida to win by at least 2 points, adding medium risk. Given their recent comebacks and offensive capabilities, this is plausible, but Houston’s defense could keep it close, making this a balanced risk for bettors.

Over on Points 724g2w

The over/under is set at 141.5, and our analysis suggests a potential for high scoring. Estimating Florida’s expected score against Houston’s defense and vice versa, we calculated a total around 143.75, slightly above the line. However, Houston’s defensive strength might limit scoring, making this a medium to high-risk bet, appealing to those expecting an offensive showdown.

Walter Clayton Jr. Over on Points e6u73

Clayton’s average of 20.2 points per game, coupled with his 34-point Final Four performance, s this prop bet. Set at over 20 points, it’s a medium to high risk due to the pressure of the finals, but his form suggests he could deliver, making it attractive for those betting on star performances.

Note that most sportsbooks offer special bonuses for the NCAA finals, and you can find a breakdown in our selection of the best betting apps.